《日本经济新闻》引述消息透露,俄罗斯总统普京(Vladimir
Putin)在3月于莫斯科与中国国家主席习近平会面时,称俄乌战争会长达最少5年,这让中国外交战略有所改变。
《日经》12月28日报道,普京在告知中国预计俄乌战争要持续5年后,中国调整其外交策略,包括在5月向欧洲派遣和平特使。
报道指中方的考量是,若乌克兰战争再拖五年,将让中国面临来自西方更大的压力,打击中国经济,因此向欧洲派遣和平使团是要两面下注,避免俄罗斯一旦失败拖累中国。但此举可能激怒俄罗斯,让俄罗斯得悉中国对其5年战争计划感到不悦。
如果俄乌战争持续更久,可能会影响习近平连任中国国家主席和中共总书记的计划,以及他统一台湾的目标。
美国《纽约时报》报导,最少自9月起,普京一直透过中间人表示愿意在乌克兰停火,条件是保留目前佔领领土,但也可能只是想在2024年俄国总统大选前营造走向停火甚至和平的假象,以有利选情。
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