干脆说破算了:我行我素和直奔南墙的崇祯情结
文章来源: 中国数字时代 于
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【朋友圈】方绍伟|干脆说破算了08/24/2023
CDT编者按:截图来源于网络,作者为旅美独立学者。
最近讨论中国经济形势的中外专家和网友特别多,但大家都在回避最关键的问题,克鲁格曼、许成刚、田国强和陶然都有幻觉,而赵燕菁、许高和刘俏则继续纠缠于技术问题。
最关键的到底是什么?两点,第一,经济增长首先不是经济问题。第二,首脑的重要性和影响力特别突出,这个事实本身是中国独特的制度文化惯性。由此出发,当代中国经济从指令型计划经济变成集权型市场经济,但由于非限任问题,集权宽松市场经济已经变成集权高压市场经济,当下的经济困境都是新体制导致的问题,离开这一要害的分析都文不对题。
在新体制之下,国家垄断领域继续强化,民间竞争领域则被更大程度的审批和取缔所压制,大家把重点放在财政货币、内需房地和分配政策上。但根本问题是对市场扩张和资本扩张的双重打压导致了制度信用和资本信心的双重崩溃。此时讨论技术问题毫无意义,
因为要害是不可改变、我行我素和直奔南墙的崇祯情结。
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