华尔街大多头:今年最后5周 股市将“放烟火”
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著名的华尔街大多头、策略谘询公司Fundstrat Global Advisors共同创办人汤姆李(Tom
Lee)表示,迹象显示,11月通膨将有所放缓,股市将在今年的最后5周“放烟火”,预测标普500指数会在年底达到4500点,这比目前水准约高出10%。
策略谘询公司Fundstrat Global Advisors共同创办人汤姆李
《市场内幕》报道,汤姆李在最新的研究报告中做了上述表示,他重申了其观点,也就是通膨走软将改变联准会的鹰派升息立场。汤姆李补充,10月的CPI报告引发了股市的大涨,认为11月的CPI报告也可能起到类似的作用。
虽然汤姆李的乐观看法和华尔街一些人不太一样,不过汤姆李认为,通货膨胀很大程度上已被抛在脑后,有专家指出,通膨数续往往比官方统计数据滞后18个月左右,而联准会升息也需要时间来影响,这意味著物价可能已经走低。
汤姆李表示,虽然一些人对联准会引发的经济衰退发出警告,但这只有在联准会没有改变政策来应对通膨降温的背景下,这种情形才会发生。
汤姆李预计,标普500指数将在年底前达到4400至4500点,比目前水准高出约10%,“在我们看来,现在持有股票的理由,比2022年全年的其他时间都要强烈。”
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