诺奖得主克鲁曼:美国将在这个时间点后重回低利率
文章来源: 经济日报 于
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二○○八年诺贝尔经济学奖得主保罗克鲁曼昨天表示,有些人说高利率环境成为新常态,但他认为,美国两年后若还不降利率,将无法达成充分就业。
二○二二世界投资者周联合论坛昨连续第三天举行,克鲁曼以越洋视讯主讲。他表示,大家还在讨论要多用力对抗通膨,但通膨下降速度可能比想像快,劳动市场很多指标已降温。他认为,就经济基本面来说,“可能要到二○二四之后”,但“将重回低利率环境”。
克鲁曼说,美国二○二五年的利率环境应该比较像二○一九年,主因为移民人口大幅萎缩,美国移民劳动人口比五年前少了二百万人,而且科技进展的幅度跟速度没有想像快。
此外,他也表示,地缘政治对台湾来说是重大挑战,台湾过去受惠全球化及全球供应链整合,现在部分企业会发现,全球供应链比想像更脆弱。
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