美房市降温了?这项商品价格自升息来暴跌50%
文章来源: udn 于
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美国木材价格从3月初来已暴跌超过50%,是美国联准会升息,导致疫情期间火热房市降温的最新迹象。
华尔街日报报导,在疫情期间实施封锁措施后,木材价格成为供应链问题和通膨的领先指标。木材价格在2020年夏季飙涨,原因是被关在家的民众大规模修缮房屋,且对郊区房屋需求激增。到了去年春季,木材价格是疫情前高点的逾两倍。现在,建材价格正闪烁警讯。
7月交割的木材期货上周五(27日)收在每千板英尺695.10美元,较3月初高点重挫超过52%。现货木材价格同样崩跌。定价服务机构Random
Lengths上周五表示,追踪现货销售的屋架综合指数上周下跌约12%至794美元,远低于3月的1,334美元。3月正是联准会祭出2018年来首度升息之时。
利率上扬、房屋待售物件供应有限,加上卖方出价高,正开始对美国房市产生影响。
房地美(Freddie
Mac)的数据显示,美国30年固定房贷利率平均为5.1%,高于年初的3.1%,这让人们房贷重担增加。美国4月新屋销售较前月下滑16.6%,降幅为九年来最大,销量降至2020年4月来最低,当时正值防疫封锁措施衝击市场。另据人口普查局的数据,独栋房屋完工数、开工数和营建许可数据在4月都下滑。
定价服务机构Random
Lengths表示,木材买家已减缓下订单,在木材厂的木材正成堆存放,这些因素都导致价格下跌。该机构上周五表示:“三位数的折扣变成惯例而非例外。”
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